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Showing posts from July, 2015

Despite Al Gore And Obama Gobal Warming Alarmism, Polar Ice Refuses To Go Away

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The Canadian Coast Guard icebreaker Amundsen, assigned to a global warming research mission in the Arctic, was  called  away from duty last week to help commercial ships navigate the unusually heavy ice in the Hudson Bay – a far cry from the scenario envisioned by Al Gore’s 2009  prediction  of an ice-free Arctic by 2014. The episode brings to mind the ill-fated voyage of the Russian ship  Akademik Shokalskiy  that became stuck in unexpectedly heavy Antarctic ice in December 2013 while on a research mission to the South Pole. It seems Mother Nature is simply not cooperating with the ever-more dire global warming forecasts. A  study  reported last week that the amount of Arctic sea ice had rebounded by one-third after the cool summer of 2013, erasing the prior three years of sea ice melt. Global sea ice level is on a zero trend for the decade,  according  to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. All this is...

Al Gore’s crusade for warming panic on a down trend?

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Global warming is a forecasting problem. The claim of the IPCC and sympathetic alarmists is that if we don’t stop emitting carbon dioxide, the Earth will be dangerously warmer  in the future . How can they know that? To put it another way, given the state of knowledge, are the IPCC using forecasting methods that are known to provide accurate forecasts? In order to draw attention to this question, Professor Scott Armstrong in 2007 challenged former Vice President Al Gore to a bet on what would happen to global average temperatures over the next 10 years. Mr. Gore was getting a lot of media coverage at the time for his claims that temperatures on planet Earth were at a “tipping point” due to human emissions of CO 2 . He nevertheless declined, on the grounds that he does not bet. With Scott Armstrong, I had published a paper evaluating the procedures that the IPCC were relying on for their scenarios of future dangerous warming [1] . We found that the procedures vi...